International Financial Management
The client is questioning their international portfolio allocation in light of the underperformance of major developed countries’ equities and the high volatility of emerging market equities. The client had expressed skepticism that an international strategy might not add much value to their overall portfolios and in fact might create unnecessary currency risks. You are tasked with explaining the fundamentals of global markets to the client and with justifying your investment strategy. Your mission is to educate the client on:- the benefits of international diversification
- the impact of currency movements on returns of global portfolios
- the drivers and consequences of correlations among global equity markets
- the risks and limitations of international
9th Edition
By Cheol Eun and Bruce Resnick and Tuugi Chuluun
ISBN10: 1260013871
ISBN13: 9781260013870
Copyright: 2021[/caption]
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Returns and standard deviations (8 marks)
- Using the total return stock markets indices data, calculate the monthly returns for different markets in local currency.
- Calculate the average monthly return and standard deviation of each stock market for the total period and for shorter sub-periods.
- Calculate the returns of the various markets in terms of the client’s home currency. In order to do this, you will need to convert each of the indices to the client’s home currency using exchange rates in the provided spreadsheet.
- Annualize the average monthly return and the standard deviations in order to demonstrate the differences across markets and over different time periods to the client. (The standard deviation of the monthly returns can be annualized by multiplying the monthly standard deviation with the square root of 12.)
- Compare Sharpe ratios for different countries, both in local currency and in the home currency of the client. Discuss your findings.
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Market correlations (8 marks)
- Calculate the correlations of the returns for the full period and for sub-periods, first based on the local currency and then based on the client’s home currency. Discuss your findings.
- What are the possible causes for convergences and divergences between markets?
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Disentangling currency effects from international portfolio returns (12 marks)
- In order to demonstrate the performance of international equities relative to the home market equities and to clarify the impact of currency movements on returns, you need to analyse the historical data on the performance of a domestic index, various foreign market indices and an international index, which you need to calculate for the chosen foreign markets as a market value weighted index using return data and market capitalization data (see provided spreadsheet).
- To show the performance of foreign equities relative to the home market equities, compare the returns on the home currency based indices with those of the home market index from year to year.
- Demonstrate how local equity returns and currency movements each contributed to the returns to the home market investors. To demonstrate these effects, use data on home market and foreign markets returns, both in local currency and the home currency.
- Synthesizing the results (14 marks)
- Using the monthly index values for the home market index and for various foreign markets, calculate the monthly returns on the indices and use these data to construct a series of portfolios, starting with a 100% allocation to the home market index, then calculating the returns of different portfolios with increasing shares of foreign equities. Work through different portfolio mixes, ending with a 100% allocation to foreign equities.
- Analyse the full period as well as sub-periods.
- Use the home currency-based indices for these calculations.
- Use monthly returns for the analysis, however, for the client report and presentation, annualize the average monthly returns and the standard deviations.
- Compare the Sharpe ratios of various portfolios.
- Use the results to map the efficient frontier in a typical mean-variance graph to demonstrate how different international allocations in a portfolio affect the portfolio’s risk-return characteristics. Explain your findings to the
- Globalization of financial markets and benefits of international diversification (8 marks)
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